Estimation of the response of The Earth’s climatic system to the growth of carbon dioxide gas content in the atmosphere

S. V. Morozova; E. A. Polyanskaya; M. Yu. Chervyakov; K. E. Denisov; A. P. Solodovnikov; N. V. Semenova

doi:10.1117/12.2603938

15 December 2021 Estimation of the response of The Earth’s climatic system to the growth of carbon dioxide gas content in the atmosphere

S. V. Morozova, E. A. Polyanskaya, M. Yu. Chervyakov, K. E. Denisov, A. P. Solodovnikov, N. V. Semenova

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Proceedings Volume 11916, 27th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics; 1191670 (2021) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2603938
Event: 27th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics, 2021, Moscow, Russian Federation

Abstract

The article provides an assessment of the influence of the rate of growth of surface air temperature on the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. It is indicated that an increase in air temperature stimulates the active supply of carbon dioxide from natural sources. This process is implemented according to the positive feedback mechanism, which can stimulate the transition of the Earth's climatic system to a qualitatively new state. The assessment was carried out by statistical methods using the apparatus of variance analysis. The contribution of the rise in temperatures to the additional emission of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere is estimated at 19%. Fisher's test was used to assess the statistical significance. The contribution turned out to be statistically significant. The assessment of the contribution of carbon dioxide to the growth of the near-surface air temperature was 87% with a correlation coefficient between these values of 0.911 ± 0.03.

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S. V. Morozova, E. A. Polyanskaya, M. Yu. Chervyakov, K. E. Denisov, A. P. Solodovnikov, and N. V. Semenova "Estimation of the response of The Earth’s climatic system to the growth of carbon dioxide gas content in the atmosphere", Proc. SPIE 11916, 27th International Symposium on Atmospheric and Ocean Optics, Atmospheric Physics, 1191670 (15 December 2021); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2603938

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